Shifting Sands Of US Politics: Demographics, Gaza And The Future

The strategy of drawing the US into broader regional conflicts has pushed the American political climate into uncharted and volatile territory

Shifting Sands Of US Politics: Demographics, Gaza And The Future

Reading history has taught this scribe that geology and politics are comparable. Massive tectonic plates in the outer shell make up the earth’s geography, as we know it. They dictate the lay of mountain ranges, rivers, valleys, volcanoes, oceans, and everything visible on or under terra-firma and mare-profundum (Deep Ocean). These plates may stay stationary for centuries, retaining a serene, perpetual seismic peace. Once they begin shifting—gradually at first but picking up pace as they slide over molten magma—a unified Pangaea converts into continents, subcontinents, and islands, or converts a whole town into rubble. The new shape has nothing in common with the earlier forms.

The same, in essence, is true for the political landscape with respect to the US. It is undergoing significant changes. Well-established pro-Israel opinions are turning into rubble right before our unbelieving eyes. One titanic mistake that Israel has made—and it ultimately had to make one—was luring the US into attacking Iran earlier this year, and that has sent the political landscape of the US into incognitos tempus (tempus is time).

There was a time not many years ago, perhaps as early as the 7th of October 2023 when Hamas carried out a daringly desperate attack on Israel, that US support for Israel was impregnable and solid as a rock. A word against Israel or Zionist policies by any US, or even European, politician was unthinkable. That would finish their career. Some entertainers, including Miley Cyrus, Mel Gibson, Kanye West, and Charlie Sheen, were portrayed as anti-Semitic, even if their remarks were mild and only in a social context. Children in schools were, as indeed they continue to be, indoctrinated on the subject and genocide, a term exclusively reserved for what the Ashkenazi Jews suffered at the hands of the German Nazis.

Criticising Israeli policy and distancing from traditional pro-Israel institutions like AIPAC is no longer a political liability

The eradication of the Native Americans in North America, the Incas and Aztecs in South America, or the Aboriginals in Australia were termed murders or massacres, but not genocide. In Australia, children are given two courses in anti-Semitism before they graduate high school. Denial of the Holocaust is a cognisable offence in some European nations. The anti-German feelings in Europe due to two world wars in the last century have been skilfully exploited by the Jews to turn that anger, or hatred, towards compassion for them, alongside the dehumanisation of Palestinians whose expulsion from their own ancestral lands is continuing. This compassion has been employed by the murderous Zionist movement to carry out the genocide of the Palestinians since the Nakba (catastrophe) of 1947–1948.

The Hamas attack on Israel in 2023 has now proved to be a watershed event. It is still being played out even as the educational, medical, and physical infrastructure in Gaza is mostly flattened by US and Israeli air-launched bombs, resulting in a hundred thousand Gazan deaths. As Israel exacted a terrible vengeance—as indeed it had the right to—with unflinching US logistic and diplomatic support, it crossed many moral and legal grounds. This trespassing did not go unregistered. Many European nations were appalled when hospitals were attacked, doctors were killed, journalists were murdered, children were massacred, and entire residential neighbourhoods were obliterated. It was genocide and, despite Jewish protestations to the contrary, Western people have started recognising it as such, even if not in those exact words. Israel was taken to the ICC, which declared its Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defence Minister Yoav Gallant as war criminals and issued arrest warrants for them. It was a moral reversal that Israel and her US Zionist supporters did not expect.

Like the baby boomers born in the 1950s and 1960s, who are in leadership roles in most nations, their US component also failed to appreciate that Generations Z and Alpha have a mindset of their own and are not polluted by the doctrinal propaganda of any kind from the earlier generations. Americans, of either party, of an earlier generation would be appalled at the anti-Israel feelings emerging in the recent past. There is a generational divide on how Israel has handled the conflicts in Gaza and the West Bank. Even the younger conservative wing of the US increasingly questions their nation’s foreign entanglements, the influence of traditional lobbies, and the treatment of Palestinian civilians. Criticising Israeli policy and distancing from traditional pro-Israel institutions like AIPAC is no longer a political liability. There is a growing feeling that Israeli actions are not aligned with US security interests. Even the Vice President, JD Vance, has been openly critical of Israeli influence in US internal matters.

Political leaders like Abdul El-Sayed, the Democratic nominee for the Michigan Senate seat, Zohran Mamdani, the New York mayoral candidate, Senator Bernie Sanders, Rep Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Wisconsin Governor Francesca Hong, Rep Ro Khanna, Senator Chris Murphy, Rep Pramila Jayapal, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Gov Tim Walz, Lt Gov Peggy Flanagan, Ex-VP Kamala Harris, and a host of others are taking positions on Israel that are either hostile or tending to the centre. The two Muslim women in the Congress, Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, have built their political careers despite their vehement opposition to Israel; both are banned from entering the Jewish State.

To conclude, how this shift will play out in the near and medium term has yet to be seen. However, there is significant demographic diversity in the US. Only 60% of the US population is classified as White only; the rest are Black, Hispanics, or mixed races. The population growth rate of the Whites is below the replacement level; a fact very skilfully highlighted by Pat Buchanan in his book titled Death of the West. On the other hand, Rep Rashida Tlaib, the daughter of Palestinian immigrants, is one of fourteen siblings, all from one set of parents. A low White birth rate translates into more immigrants, most of whom have large families due to social or religious reasons. Also, new immigrants are more concerned about their livelihood and preserving their socio-religious identity, and may already have a historic antagonism against Zionism. These changes shall be, as indeed they are being, reflected in their political choices.

Parvez Mahmood retired as a Group Captain from the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) and is now a software engineer. He lives in Islamabad and writes on social and historical issues. He can be reached at: parvezmahmood53@gmail.com