Pakistan-Afghanistan Ceasefire: Will It Hold? | Adam Weinstein & Marvi Sirmed Break it Down

In this episode of Unraveled with Marvi Sirmed, political analyst and Quincy Institute fellow Adam Weinstein, just back from Pakistan, offers an insider’s perspective on the fragile Pakistan–Afghanistan ceasefire mediated by Qatar and Turkey. We explore: 1. The ground realities inside Pakistan after weeks of border clashes. 2. How TTP attacks, refugee scapegoating, and civil-military fatigue are reshaping public sentiment. 3. Why Pakistan’s old strategy of “good Taliban vs bad Taliban” has collapsed — and what this means for regional security. 4. How India, China, and the U.S. factor into the evolving South Asian power matrix. 5. Why Afghanistan’s Taliban government is unable — and perhaps unwilling — to act against the TTP. 6. What’s next for Pakistan’s aspirations to be a “geo-economic hub” amid instability along the Durand Line. Adam’s observations from Islamabad, Peshawar, and his deep understanding of U.S.-Pakistan dynamics make this one of the most substantive conversations yet on Unraveled. Key takeaway: Both sides are trapped in a “blind alley” — and Pakistan’s future depends on confronting its internal contradictions rather than its obsession with India. Guest: Adam Weinstein, Research Fellow at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft Host: Marvi Sirmed, Journalist & Human Rights Defender